Who wants to be a Vice President?
WASHINGTON (AP) - June 8, 2008 Are they out to offset their own perceived weaknesses, or
reinforce an area of strength? Are they looking for someone from a
particular region or demographic niche? How much should personal
chemistry count in the equation? It's all about achieving balance.
The end of the Democratic primary season this past week touched
off considerable debate about the relative merits of an
Obama-Clinton "dream ticket." Obama could decide to pick
vanquished rival Hillary Rodham Clinton on the strength of her
campaigning skills, or steer clear of the political baggage she and
her husband would bring. He could view adding her to the ticket as
a way to reach out to women and unify the party, or see her as a
divisive figure who might turn away general-election voters.
A similar balancing act will play out on the Republican side.
McCain, 71, could try to use his running mate to bulk up the
ticket's economic credentials, for example, or to inject some
youthful vigor.
There are names afloat for just about any scenario, and
Clinton's is surely one of the most buoyant.
"She is hardworking; she is tough; she is very smart," Obama
said recently. "So I think she'd be on anybody's short list of the
vice presidential candidates, but beyond that, I don't want to
offer an opinion."
If Obama wants to amplify the Democratic ticket's sense of
history by adding a woman, Clinton is not the only choice. Also on
the list of potential candidates are Govs. Janet Napolitano of
Arizona and Kathleen Sebelius of Kansas and Missouri Sen. Claire
McCaskill.
Obama could pick a Clinton backer, such as Gov. Ted Strickland
of Ohio or Gov. Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania, to attract her
supporters. These governors offer another advantage; they know how
to connect with people in the industrial Midwest, where Obama has
struggled to address the economic anxieties of white, working-class
voters. Former Sen. John Edwards of North Carolina also has
working-class appeal, although he insists he doesn't want a second
try at the vice presidency.
People are also worried about the Iraq war and national security
matters, and if Obama wants that kind of experience on his ticket,
he might pick former Sen. Sam Nunn of Georgia, a longtime Armed
Services Committee chairman, or one of his former presidential
rivals, New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, a former UN ambassador, or
Sens. Joe Biden of Delaware or Chris Dodd of Connecticut.
Obama might seek an unconventional running mate, such as New
York Mayor Mike Bloomberg, a
Democrat-turned-Republican-turned-independent, or Nebraska
Republican Sen. Chuck Hagel, a critic of the Iraq war. Both flirted
with presidential bids last year.
Governors have an edge over other contenders; they have actually
run governments, while Obama and McCain, both senators, lack
executive experience. A governor can also be viewed as an outsider
to a senator's Washington insider.
If Obama picks a governor from a competitive state - such as Tim
Kaine of Virginia, where Democrats have made gains in recent years
- he would have an outsider with executive experience who might
help expand the electoral map.
"It's a very complex balancing act, kind of a Rubik's Cube,
trying to find that combination that's going to get you to the
White House," said Paul Light, a government professor at New York
University.
Obama recently began looking in earnest, asking Caroline
Kennedy, daughter of the late President John F. Kennedy; former
Deputy Attorney General Eric Holder, and Jim Johnson, the former
Fannie Mae CEO, to start the vice presidential vetting along with a
tight circle of advisers.
For McCain, there are fewer Republican governors and fewer GOP
lawmakers in Congress to include in the mix. Reagan administration
hand A.B. Culvahouse is advising McCain on the process, according
to Republicans close to the campaign.
McCain spent the Memorial Day weekend vacationing in Arizona
with four potential contenders: Charlie Crist, governor of Florida,
a crucial state in November; one-time rival Mitt Romney, the former
Massachusetts governor; Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal and Kansas Sen.
Sam Brownback.
Jindal, 36, "violates the rule that you can't have someone half
your age on the ticket with you," Light joked.
Besides Crist and Jindal, governors who might be considered
include Minnesota's Tim Pawlenty, South Carolina's Mark Sanford and
Alaska's Sarah Palin, or former Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Ridge.
Pawlenty, Sanford, and South Dakota Sen. John Thune all are
well-liked by a range of party conservatives, a factor that McCain
may give weight to given his sometimes rocky history with this core
segment of the GOP base. Former presidential rival Mike Huckabee,
the former Arkansas governor, is a favorite of Christian
conservatives, as is Brownback.
On economic issues, Romney stands out as a venture capitalist
and Olympics CEO. And his broad base of campaign contributors could
help McCain's own bottom line. Other possibilities are former Texas
Sen. Phil Gramm, a former Banking Committee chairman, and Ohio's
Rob Portman, a former White House budget director and former
congressman.
He might consider Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman, the 2000
Democratic running mate who switched parties to independent.
Although Lieberman, a McCain booster, says he doesn't want to be on
the ticket.
Outside-the-box contenders for McCain might be a former CEO such
as Carly Fiorina, who ran Hewlett-Packard, former eBay CEO Meg
Whitman or Fred Smith, FedEx's founder. All are involved in
McCain's campaign.
For all the handicapping inside and outside the campaigns, in
the end, voters still care most about the nominee. That is why
Thomas Mann, analyst at the Brookings Institution think tank,
scoffs at the idea that putting Clinton on the ticket would somehow
deliver her constituency to Obama.
"There's no magic bullet way of using a running mate to deal
with particular problems," Mann said. "People are going to vote
on the basis of the presidential nominee, and there's not much that
you can compensate with via the running mate."