New Franklin & Marshall/ 6abc Poll

September 30, 2008 8:34:14 PM PDT
A new Franklin & Marshall/ 6abc poll shows the race in Pennsylvania is pretty static.Obama leads McCain among registered Pennsylvania voters, 45% to 38%

That is a 7 point lead, compared to Obama's 8 point lead in August.

Although both Obama's and McCain's overall numbers have gone up, Obama's actual lead over McCain has changed very little. That's because many undecided voters have chosen a candidate.

However, a lot has happened in the past few days, and one likely voter has changed his mind since he was questioned for this most recent poll.

"Right now I'm completely undecided, I feel like I don't even want to vote this year," said Bernard Goldberg of Northeast Philadelphia.

Goldberg is a lifelong Democrat, and a Hillary Clinton supporter. When she didn't win the nomination, he blamed the Democratic Party and supported McCain. That was up until Monday and the failure of lawmakers to pass the bailout bill.

"I realized it's not McCain we're dealing with but McCain and the Republican party," Goldberg said.

It is no surprise that this month's Franklin & Marshall College/ 6abc poll found that more than half, 52% of registered voters, cite the economy as the most important issue in their vote for president. That's an increase of 11 points since mid-August.

Almost half of those polled believe that McCain will mostly continue Bush's economic policies. As the Wall Street crisis plays out in Washington, voters in the Keystone State have drifted more towards Obama.

"We see it in certain fundementals that are ultimately important in who wins Pennsylvania's 21 electoral votes," said Terry Madonna of Franklin and Marshall College.

For example, in August, 55% said Obama better understands the concerns of ordinary Americans compared to McCain's 32%. This month, Obama's number has risen to 61%, McCain's has fallen to 28%.

McCain's strength, his experience, is taking a hit as well. In August, 60% said he has the experience needed to be president compared to Obama's 22%. Now, 57% say he has the experience compared to Obama who now has 28%.

Independents and and white women have all shifted more in Obama's favor, while McCain's advantage is among white men. Both candidates have equal support among members of their own party.


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