European chill as G20 finance heads meet in SKorea
June 2, 2010 The continent's sovereign debt crisis has seemed like an echo of
2008 when a banking system breakdown in the United States pushed
the world into its most serious economic crisis in 70 years and
raised fears of another Great Depression.
World markets have tanked amid uncertainty over Europe's
government finances. The Dow Jones industrial average declined 7.9
percent in May and has further extended losses in June while the
euro has sharply weakened amid fears for the single currency's
viability.
Still, the volatility has not been on the scale of the market
mayhem in 2008 following the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings.
But it serves as a reminder of the massive task the G-20 has set
for itself: reforming the global financial system to prevent
another crisis and ensure economic stability.
South Korea, which assumed the rotating Group of 20 chair this
year, is hosting the meeting of finance ministers and central bank
governors in the southern port city of Busan on Friday and
Saturday.
The G-20 is working on policy recommendations aimed at achieving
what it calls "strong, sustainable and balanced growth" to hand
to leaders at a pair of summits scheduled for this year - one in
Canada later this month and another in Seoul in November.
The forum has been trying to come up with a new financial
architecture to manage the global economy in the wake of the 2008
crisis. Proposals include a bank tax, setting new capital standards
and establishing "financial safety nets" to help bolster
countries such as host South Korea, which have been vulnerable to
the whims of traders who can send billions of dollars across
borders at the press of a button.
The G-20 has agreed at a series of summits in the United States
and Britain since late 2008 on the need for tighter financial
regulation to prevent the kind of Lehman-induced turmoil that could
potentially sink the global economy.
Coming up with solutions, however, has proved a challenge.
The issue of a bank tax to pay for future bailouts has proved
divisive. The U.S. and European countries favor the move, while
others such as Canada and Australia - whose banks survived the
global crisis intact - oppose it.
The G-20, founded in 1999, consists of rich countries such as
the United States, Japan, and Germany, emerging powers China,
Brazil and India, and developing economies Indonesia and South
Africa. Top oil producer Saudi Arabia is also a member.
It maintained a relatively low profile until the shock of 2008,
when the disparate grouping shot into the limelight as the key
international forum for managing the global financial system,
largely stealing the crown from the exclusive Group of Seven after
developing countries demanded more say.
Besides following up on issues discussed at their last finance
meeting in Washington in April, the G-20 will talk about the
European debt crisis, said Yim Jong-yong, a top official at South
Korea's Ministry of Strategy and Finance.
They will also be "sending some message of the G-20 to the
market regarding the European risk," Yim said in an interview last
month.
Some, however, are skeptical the G-20 can accomplish anything
regarding Europe's economic problems.
Stephen Lewis, senior economist at London-based Monument
Securities, said the key problem for the nations using the euro is
that they are hamstrung by the inflexibility imposed by the single
currency.
"But G-20 finance ministers cannot afford to recognize this,
mindful as they must be of the potentially destabilizing influence,
not only in Europe but in the rest of the world, of any widespread
loss of confidence in the euro arrangements," he said. "Their
discussions are, therefore, likely to lead nowhere."
The U.S. push for China to let the value of its currency, the
yuan, appreciate to help address global trade imbalances has long
hung over international finance meetings. However, it is doubtful
that any G-20 statement from Busan will press China on the issue.
At the April meeting in Washington, the communique repeated
previous pledges to eliminate imbalances but did not specifically
address China's currency.
The meeting also takes place amid a geopolitical distraction in
the form of tensions on the Korean peninsula where rivals South
Korea and North Korea have been squaring off after Seoul blamed
Pyongyang for sinking one of its warships and killing 46 sailors.
North Korea denies that.
Though decades of enmity between the two Koreas may not seem
like an issue for G-20 finance mandarins to take on, North Korea
has a way of muscling in on international trade and economic
meetings in Asia. In November 2006 in Melbourne, Australia, for
example, G-20 finance ministers and central bank governors
condemned North Korea over a nuclear test it carried out the month
before.
The G-20 consists of Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Britain,
Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan,
Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, South Korea, Turkey,
the U.S. and the European Union.