AccuWeather: Sandy a 'worst case scenario' for NJ shore

October 29, 2012


The newest track puts Sandy's predicted landfall between Rehoboth, Delaware and Cape May, New Jersey.

If that works out, the storm surge would extend from Cape May up through Long Beach Island.

As of 11:00 a.m., winds have climbed to 90 mph, making it a strong Category 1 hurricane. It is moving NNW at 18 mph.

The center of the storm is just over 200 miles from the NJ coast.

Heavy rain has developed in parts of our region and coastal flooding has already developed along the Jersey shore.

A Hurricane Force Wind Warning has been issued for the Delaware Bay and the Jersey shore. We're expecting waves up to 3-8 feet along the bay and up to 15-22 feet for the N.J. ocean front, with the worst hit areas more than likely occurring from Atlantic City to Sandy Hook.

A Flood Watch is in effect across the region because of the threat of heavy rain from the storm, especially Monday and early Tuesday.

A High Wind Watch hasalso been issued for Monday into Tuesday for the entire region, as we are looking at wind gusts anywhere from 60 to 80 miles per hour.

TODAY: Cloudy and windy with bands of heavy rain developing throughout the day. Flooding is likely along in low lying areas, areas of poor drainage, streets, streams and creeks. There could even be river flooding by Tuesday. Downed wires and power outages are also likely along with uprooted trees. Look for sustained winds over 50 mph and gusts as high as 60-80 mph. The current "most likely" track puts the storm onshore Monday night or in the wee hours of Tuesday morning between Atlantic City and Long Beach Island. While there is still a range of possible landing spots, the potential for widespread coastal flooding exists with the worst on-shore winds and storm surge just to the north of the point of landfall. Severe beach erosion is possible near the coast along with major property damage. High 57.

TONIGHT: Cloudy and windy with periods of rain. Some of it will be heavy at times (possibly 1-2" per hour at times). Winds will gust from 60-80mph throughout the evening. Low 51.

TUESDAY: This is still a messy day with relatively strong winds and periods of steady rain. Overall, conditions should be better than Monday, but that may not be saying much since residual flooding and some additional falling trees and branches are still likely. Winds and rain may become less intense as the day goes on, though. It will still be cool with a high of 56.

HALLOWEEN: Mostly cloudy, breezy and chilly with a shower around from time to time. High 56. Temperatures will be in the 40s for the trick or treaters.

THURSDAY: It's likely still mostly cloudy and cool with a high around 54, with a chance of a shower.

FRIDAY: More clouds than sun, chilly. High 55.

SATURDAY: Sun and Clouds. High: 57.

SUNDAY: Sun and clouds. High: 61.

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