Throughout much of the 2019-20 season, the Washington Capitals looked like their usual juggernaut selves, keeping the rest of their Metropolitan Division foes at an arm's length in the standings. But as we enter the final month of the campaign, the Philadelphia Flyers are making things interesting. The Flyers' stunning 5-2 victory in Washington on Wednesday night pulls them one point back of the Caps, with one fewer regulation victory. Both teams have incentive to win the division crown, as the No. 2 seed will likely face the Pittsburgh Penguins in the first round of the Stanley Cup playoffs.
Here's where things stand throughout the league heading into Thursday's 10-game slate, including Dallas Stars-Nashville Predators and Edmonton Oilers-Chicago Blackhawks streaming live on ESPN+.
Note: Playoff chances are courtesy of Money Puck, while tragic numbers are per the NHL's Damian Echevarrieta.
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Race for No. 1 pick | Current playoff matchups
Points: 96
Regulation wins: 37
Playoff position: Atlantic 1
Games left: 15 (7 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 5: @ FLA
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 87
Regulation wins: 33
Playoff position: Atlantic 2
Games left: 16 (8 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. MTL
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 78
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: Atlantic 3
Games left: 15 (8 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 5: @ LA
Playoff chances: 85.9%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 86
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: Metro 1
Games left: 16 (8 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 5: @ NYR
Playoff chances: 99.7%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 85
Regulation wins: 29
Playoff position: Metro 2
Games left: 16 (9 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. CAR
Playoff chances: 99.5%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 82
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: Metro 3
Games left: 17 (8 home, 9 away)
Next game: March 5: @ BUF
Playoff chances: 90.0%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 79
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: Wild card 1
Games left: 14 (5 home, 9 away)
Next game: March 7: @ EDM
Playoff chances: 41.0%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 78
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: Wild card 2
Games left: 17 (7 home, 10 away)
Next game: March 5: @ OTT
Playoff chances: 61.8%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 75
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 18 (8 home, 10 away)
Next game: March 5: @ PHI
Playoff chances: 71.4%
Tragic number: 34
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (7 home, 9 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. WSH
Playoff chances: 25.0%
Tragic number: 29
Points: 73
Regulation wins: 28
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (8 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. BOS
Playoff chances: 19.9%
Tragic number: 28
Points: 71
Regulation wins: 19
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 14 (5 home, 9 away)
Next game: March 5: @ TB
Playoff chances: 5.5%
Tragic number: 22
Points: 66
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (8 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. PIT
Playoff chances: 0.2%
Tragic number: 21
Points: 64
Regulation wins: 20
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (9 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 6: vs. STL
Playoff chances: 0.1%
Tragic number: 19
Points: 58
Regulation wins: 17
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15 (5 home, 10 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. NYI
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: 11
Points: 35
Regulation wins: 12
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 14 (7 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 6: vs. CHI
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: Eliminated
Points: 90
Regulation wins: 31
Playoff position: Central 1
Games left: 15 (7 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 6: @ NJ
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 88
Regulation wins: 36
Playoff position: Central 2
Games left: 16 (9 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 6: @ VAN
Playoff chances: 100%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 82
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: Central 3
Games left: 16 (9 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 5: @ NSH
Playoff chances: 99.1%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 82
Regulation wins: 29
Playoff position: Pacific 1
Games left: 14 (4 home, 10 away)
Next game: March 6: @ WPG
Playoff chances: 98.6%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 80
Regulation wins: 30
Playoff position: Pacific 2
Games left: 15 (10 home, 5 away)
Next game: March 5: @ CHI
Playoff chances: 96.0%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 77
Regulation wins: 24
Playoff position: Pacific 3
Games left: 14 (10 home, 4 away)
Next game: March 6: vs. ARI
Playoff chances: 83.4%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: Wild card 1
Games left: 16 (9 home, 7 away)
Next game: March 6: vs. COL
Playoff chances: 51.6%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 27
Playoff position: Wild card 2
Games left: 14 (6 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 6: vs. VGS
Playoff chances: 24.4%
Tragic number: N/A
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 26
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 14 (8 home, 6 away)
Next game: March 6: @ CGY
Playoff chances: 40.8%
Tragic number: 29
Points: 73
Regulation wins: 29
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (6 home, 10 away)
Next game: March 5: @ SJ
Playoff chances: 67.1%
Tragic number: 32
Points: 72
Regulation wins: 25
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (7 home, 9 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. DAL
Playoff chances: 28.1%
Tragic number: 31
Points: 68
Regulation wins: 21
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (10 home, 6 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. EDM
Playoff chances: 10.5%
Tragic number: 27
Points: 62
Regulation wins: 22
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (8 home, 8 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. MIN
Playoff chances: 0.3%
Tragic number: 21
Points: 62
Regulation wins: 18
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 15 (9 home, 6 away)
Next game: March 6: vs. TOR
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: 19
Points: 56
Regulation wins: 18
Playoff position: N/A
Games left: 16 (11 home, 5 away)
Next game: March 5: vs. TOR
Playoff chances: 0%
Tragic number: 15
The NHL uses a draft lottery to determine the order at the top of the first round, so the team that finishes in last place is not guaranteed the No. 1 selection. However, whoever does win the draft lottery has a chance to select Alexis Lafreniere.
Find out more about Lafreniere here, read up on the rest of the top draft prospects here, and check out all of our 2020 NHL draft coverage.
Points: 35
Regulation wins: 12
Chance of No. 1 pick: 18.5%
Points: 56
Regulation wins: 18
Chance of No. 1 pick: 13.5%
Points: 58
Regulation wins: 17
Chance of No. 1 pick: 11.5%
Points: 62
Regulation wins: 18
Chance of No. 1 pick: 9.5%
Note: Pick belongs to Ottawa
Points: 62
Regulation wins: 22
Chance of No. 1 pick: 8.5%
Points: 64
Regulation wins: 20
Chance of No. 1 pick: 7.5%
Points: 66
Regulation wins: 22
Chance of No. 1 pick: 6.5%
Points: 68
Regulation wins: 21
Chance of No. 1 pick: 6%
Points: 71
Regulation wins: 19
Chance of No. 1 pick: 5%
Points: 72
Regulation wins: 25
Chance of No. 1 pick: 3.5%
Points: 73
Regulation wins: 28
Chance of No. 1 pick: 3%
Points: 73
Regulation wins: 29
Chance of No. 1 pick: 2.5%
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 26
Chance of No. 1 pick: 2%
Points: 74
Regulation wins: 30
Chance of No. 1 pick: 1.5%
Points: 75
Regulation wins: 25
Chance of No. 1 pick: 1%
(A1) Bruins vs. (WC2) Islanders
(A2) Lightning vs. (A3) Maple Leafs
(M1) Capitals vs. (WC1) Blue Jackets
(P1) Golden Knights vs. (WC1) Canucks