CHOP virus expert says COVID variant rise was 'preventable,' likely to see 1K deaths a day

'I think we've hit a wall in terms of getting people to get the vaccine,' Dr. Offit said

6abc Digital Staff Image
Wednesday, July 28, 2021
CHOP doctor says rise in COVID was 'preventable'
Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Vaccine Education Center in Philadelphia, weighs in on the mask reversal guidelines.

PHILADELPHIA (WPVI) -- A virus expert at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia says he expects the country to "again see more than 1,000 deaths a day" as the Delta variant continues to spread.

On Tuesday, the CDC issued a major change recommending people who are vaccinated should go back to wearing masks indoors in areas where the virus is surging.

The agency also called for everyone in K-12 schools to wear masks, even if they are vaccinated.

Dr. Paul Offit, director of The Vaccine Education Center at CHOP and a member of the FDA Vaccine Advisory Panel, spoke to "Good Morning America" on Wednesday about the Delta variant, vaccines, and mask mandates.

"The Delta variant is far more contagious than the original virus that came into this country; you shed really 1,000 times more virus from your nose and throat than the first virus that came in which killed 500,000 people," Offit said.

Offit said he was surprised over the vaccination rate in the country. He said that, along with the contagiousness of the variant, is putting the country in a position where we're taking a step back.

"We were vaccinating three million to three and a half million people a day a couple months ago; I think the assumption was we would continue to do that," Offit said. "That we would be at 80% immunization rates instead of roughly a little over 50%, in which case we wouldn't be having this discussion."

Offit said there are few things that are coming together in the next few months and not for the good. He said as we move into the fall and winter, the country will still have a highly contagious virus and a highly unvaccinated population.

"This is at its heart a winter respiratory virus," he said. "I think it's likely that we're going to again see more than 1,000 deaths a day and it's really sad because this was all preventable."

Offit said it's frustrating that people are not getting vaccinated. He called it "their ticket out of this pandemic."

"I think the conversation over the next six months is it's going to come down to mandates because I think we've hit a wall in terms of getting people to get the vaccine," Offit said.

On the same day of the CDC's updated mask guidance, two school districts in Bucks County - Central Bucks and Bensalem - announced masks would be optional for the upcoming school year.

Offit said, as kids under the age of 12 cannot be vaccinated as of yet, he would not be comfortable sending children to school unmasked.

"For a parent of a 10-year-old, knowing that you have a highly contagious virus and unvaccinated population of children less than 12 years of age in the winter months, I would only feel safe sending my child to school if I knew that there was going to be a mask mandate," Offit said.